After a slow start, demand for luxury homes is regaining momentum in most major centres

Six Canadian markets set records for upper-end sales in the first quarter

Spring is in the air and nowhere is that more evident than in the country’s luxury housing market.

After a subdued start in the first quarter, the RE/MAX Upper End Report found that demand for upscale properties is once again on the rise.   

Eight out of the 16 major residential housing markets examined posted sales on par or ahead of last year’s levels in the first three months of the year.  Percentage increases were led by Calgary (50 per cent), Edmonton (41 per cent), Regina (10 per cent), Saskatoon (6 per cent), Winnipeg and London-St. Thomas (five per cent), followed by Quebec City at three per cent.  Six markets posted new records for first quarter sales, including London-St. Thomas, Hamilton-Burlington (which matched the record 2012 pace), Quebec City, Regina, Saskatoon, Edmonton and Calgary.  For the second consecutive year, Greater Toronto secured the top spot for the greatest number of upper-end sales in the first quarter.

Luxury sales in Ontario-Atlantic Canada were hampered by a variety of factors out of the gate in 2013.  Inclement weather had a significant impact on most major markets, while supply was reportedly tighter in Greater Toronto’s core neighbourhoods, pockets of Ottawa and Kitchener-Waterloo, as well as the $800,000-$900,000 price point in Hamilton-Burlington. 

With improved momentum now emerging, at least 12 markets expect sales to match or exceed 2012 levels by year end 2013—including six out of seven Ontario-Atlantic markets: St. John’s, Halifax-Dartmouth, Ottawa, Greater Toronto, Hamilton-Burlington and London-St. Thomas. 

Homebuying activity in the top end is forecast to return to more normal levels in the days and months ahead.  Low interest rates, softer housing values in some centres, and robust equity gains over the past decade should continue to bolster the market.  Pent-up demand should also play a role in Ontario, Atlantic Canada and the Western Provinces.

Local buyers will be the predominant force at the upper end, but foreign investors—while fewer in number—will also have an impact on the market moving forward.  Over the long term, luxury sales will be propped up by accumulating wealth in Canada, as those dollars inevitably filter into the housing market.

Overall, the outlook is positive for Canada’s upper-end market.  A good selection of inventory is available in most major centres.   Prices have largely stabilized or posted modest increases.  Historically low interest rates and strong equity gains will continue to prompt buyers to make their moves.  With favourable conditions in place, the healthy appetite that exists for luxury product across the country is unlikely to subside any time soon.

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CREA Updates Real Estate Housing Forecast

The Canadian Real Estate market is showing signs of slowing down - the number of homes sold in Canada in February plummeted 15.8 per cent from the same period last year, the Canadian Real Estate Association published on today's report.  On a monthly basis, national existing home sales fell by 2.1 per cent in February, following a modest increase in January.

Canadian Real Estate Association Monthly Market Report

The MLS Home Price Index however, has indicated a 2.7 per cent increase on a year-over-year basis in February - the smallest monthly increase since March 2011.

 


Monthly Market Report: GTA Prices up 2%, while volume down 15%

The Toronto MLS released their monthly market report today, suggesting that we will continue to experience some volatility in price growth for some market segments in 2013.

From the Toronto MLS report:

Greater Toronto Area (GTA) REALTORS® reported 5,759 sales through the TorontoMLS system in February 2013 – a decline of 15 per cent in comparison to February 2012.  It should be noted that 2012 was a leap year with one extra day in February.  A 28 day year-over-year sales comparison resulted in a lesser decline of 10.5 per cent.

The average selling price for February 2013 was $510,580 – up two per cent in comparison to February 2012.

One of the largest impacts was seen in the sales of homes over $2 million which decreased by 32.5 per cent compared with February 2012.

You can view the full TREB release here

Move-up purchasers set to increase their stake in homeownership in 2013, says RE/MAX report

RE/MAX Move-Up Buyers Report recently released indicates some interesting market trends:

The RE/MAX Move-Up Buyers Report found that activity in traditional move-up price ranges have climbed year-over-year (2012 vs. 2011) in 87 per cent (14) of the 16 markets examined—a trend expected to continue throughout 2013.  The only exceptions were Victoria and Vancouver, where softer sales activity was reported. Driving the upward movement has been substantial price appreciation in most major centres.  The average Canadian home has escalated 93 per cent over the past decade; individual markets experienced increases ranging from 62 per cent in Saint John (4.96 per cent compounded annually) to 199 per cent in Regina (11.57 per cent compounded annually).

 

Move-up houses in the $500,000 to $700,000 range accounted for about 20 per cent of sales across the GTA last year, up 8 per cent from the previous year.  The report also found that first-time buyers now in the market are moving up faster than in the past, with an average four to seven years from their initial purchase.

5-Year Growth Trend - Residential Average Price 2007-2012 (Compound Annual Growth Rate)

Courtesy RE/MAX Canada

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